Conference Tournament Predictions.

March is upon us. The lead-up to the Big Dance will commence this week in the form of Conference Tournaments. Let’s look at the brackets for this week and who should be favorited to take home the tournament championships along with some dark horses to keep an eye on.

AAC

Regular Season

The Wichita State Shockers took home the regular-season trophy finishing 11-2 in conference play.


My Prediction: Houston (2 seed)

Houston actually had 3 more conference wins than the Shockers and only one more loss. This is what happens in a COVID season though. Regardless, the metrics back Houston to be the much better team and they will be playing for seeding coming down the home stretch before March Madness. This is a physical Houston team that has been dominant of late. Look for them to meet Wichita State in the finals and win in dominating fashion.

Team to watch: Memphis Tigers


ACC

Regular Season

The Virginia Cavaliers took home the regular-season trophy finishing 13-4 in conference play.


My Prediction: Florida State (2 seed)

This is a tournament that could go a lot of different ways. It is quite possible that the six seeded Tar Heels could come out on top. That being said, I would put my money on Florida State. The Seminoles are coming off a tough road loss to Notre Dame and their play in the conference tournament will influence their seeding for March Madness. I have faith in Leonard Hamilton and the high powered offense that ranks 10th in the country in Adjo.

Team to watch: North Carolina Tar Heels


Big 12

Regular Season

The Baylor Bears took home the regular-season trophy finishing 13-1 in conference play.


My Prediction: Baylor (1 seed)

Baylor will have a very tough conference tournament schedule, but nothing that the Bears can’t handle. Apart from a loss at Kansas, they have looked dominant the entire season. If they can hold off a hot Oklahoma State team I would expect them to get their revenge against Kansas in the championship round of the tournament. The Bears have the 3rd best offense in the country and a respectable defense to back it up.

Team to watch: Oklahoma State


Big East

Regular Season

The Villanova Wildcats took home the regular-season trophy finishing 11-4 in conference play.

My Prediction: UConn (3 seed)

James Bouknight. That is really all you need to know. The Sophomore guard is one of the best players in the country. After returning from injury in mid February, the Huskies are 5-1 winning in dominating fashion for the most part. With the injury to Villanova’s star point guard it would seem that UConn has a great chance to compete for the conference tournament championship. They will be a fun team to watch under the leadership of Dan Hurley down the stretch of March.

Team to watch: St. John’s



Big Ten

Regular Season

The Michigan Wolverines took home the regular-season trophy finishing 14-3 in conference play.

My prediction: Illinois (2 seed)

This conference tournament will represent around 15% of the March Madness bracket. You can say what you want about the Big Ten but it is unarguably the best conference in the country. The Illini are hot and the Wolverines are not coming down the home stretch. Look for Illinois to continue their climb to the top as they fight for a #1 seed in March Madness. It will be worth watching the Michigan State Spartans as they come off a win against Michigan, they still seem unlikely to win the tournament but I would never count Izzo out.

Team to watch: Michigan State



SEC

Regular Season

The Alabama Crimson Tide took home the regular-season trophy finishing 16-2 in conference play.

My Prediction: Arkansas (2 seed)

This will be a great conference tournament. It will likely be a rematch between Arkansas and Alabama to decide the outcome. That being said, I wouldn’t count out Ole Miss, Kentucky, or LSU. I struggled to make this decision but I decided to go with the Hogs who are one of the hottest teams in the country. Either way, the finals of the SEC tournament will be high-powered and could drastically impact seeding for March Madness. If it is Arkansas/Alabama, the winner would likely secure the #2 seed in March Madness while the loser would fall to the #3 seed.

Team to watch: Ole Miss



Pac 12

Regular Season

The Oregon Ducks took home the regular-season trophy finishing 14-4 in conference play.

My Prediction: USC (2 seed)

I love the Trojans this year. Led by the 7-foot freshman phenom, Evan Mobley, they have put together a good regular season. They are the best team from a metrics standpoint in their conference and have more experience than an Oregon team that has been plagued with cancellations. I really see Oregon and USC as the only real threats to win this tournament and we will likely see them meet in the finals. I expect the staunch USC defense to slow down the Ducks in a relatively close battle to finish the season heading into the Big Dance.

Team to watch: UCLA

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Selection Sunday



6 Teams That Can Make the Final 4 Outside of the AP Top 4

As we approach Selection Sunday, let’s take a look at a few teams that have Final 4 potential based on metrics, trajectory, and the good ol’ eye test.

Resources:


AP Top 4:

1. Gonzaga — 2. Michigan — 3. Baylor — 4. Illinois


The Prospects

Houston 20-3 (14-3)

One thing we know for certain is this team is tough. While they do hold a pair of strange losses, at Tulsa and at East Carolina, they have dominated lesser opponents of late. They have won their last three games by a combined 108 points. They are led by star guard Quentin Grimes who is averaging 18 points per game with 6 rebounds per game. They take a balanced approach with the 10th ranked offense and 5th ranked defense in adjusted efficiency. Their defense has held teams to the lowest effective field goal percentage in the country.

Kelvin Sampson has the Cougars sitting at 4th in Ken Pom as they are dominating teams down the stretch. They lack any serious resume builders apart from a neutral floor victory over Texas Tech in November. That being said their recent dominance should not go unnoticed. If they enter the Big Dance off of a conference tournament championship they will be one of the hottest teams in the country. While they are still searching for a marquee win, this team looks ready to compete with anyone come March Madness.

Iowa 18-7 (12-6)

The roller coaster that is Hawkeye basketball is coming off a dominant win at Ohio State. This past week has been an illustration of Iowa’s inconsistency this season. The metrics still love their offense that ranks 2nd in adjusted efficiency. While their defense has seen slight improvement it is still subpar for a tournament team.

Iowa is a school no one wants to see in the Big Dance. They may also have the largest gap between floor and ceiling in College Basketball. This is a team that could truly get knocked out in the first round or make a run to the Finals. I would expect at least a Sweet 16 appearance with the potential to make the Final 4 if they can shore up their defensive efforts.

Alabama 20-6 (15-2)

Nate Oats squad may have sputtered a little of late but they seem to be back on track with two dominant wins this past week. They rely on their defense which ranks 3rd in the country. Their offense has struggled recently as they continue to push the ball at a rapid pace (14 seconds a possession). As they return to full strength expect them to be favorites to win the SEC Tournament where they could likely face a red hot Razorback team.

The Tide can truly hang with anyone in the country and have a high floor. With no true bad losses since conference play expect this team to at least make the Sweet 16. They are a team that can knock off some of the best in the country with suffocating defense and a dangerous three-point attack. I like the Tide to make a deep run in March and make an appearance in the Elite 8.

Ohio State 18-7 (12-7)

Yes, the Buckeyes have lost three in a row. They could very well finish the regular season with four straight losses as they face Illinois to finish the season. All that being said, they still hold wins at Iowa, at Wisconsin, and at Illinois. This is a dangerous team that also competed for 40 minutes against Michigan. They have a similar balance to Iowa with a dangerous offense mixed with a lackluster defense.

The Buckeyes may be trending down, but it has been against good competition. This is still a team with plenty of talent that is well-coached by Chris Holtmann. Regardless of how they finish the regular season, I would be shocked if they did not at least make it to the Sweet 16 with a good chance of making the Elite 8 or Final 4.

Arkansas 20-5 (12-4)

On January 16th this would have felt like a joke as the Hogs suffered their second blowout loss in a week. Since then the Razorbacks have won 10 straight conference games including each of their best resume builders. Their defense has continued to improve and has climbed to 13th in the country. During this stretch the Arkansas offense has shot up in efficiency from the mid 60’s to 26th in the country.

The Hogs are quite possibly the hottest team in the country right now as they seem to improve with every passing victory. They will have an extremely high floor in March Madness as they are yet to suffer a “bad” loss. Don’t be surprised if the Hogs to take care of business early in March Madness and earn their first Sweet 16 bid since 1996. That being said, apart from a home win against Alabama the Hogs have not proven to be giant killers. They will likely not be favorites in any game beyond the Sweet 16 should they advance to that point.

Loyola Chicago 21-4 (16-2)

Yes, the same Loyola Chicago that shocked the world with a Final 4 run in 2018. The Ramblers will yet again pose a threat to many teams this March. They have the 2nd best defensive efficiency in the country which could prove dangerous against a team like Iowa or Ohio State later in the tournament should the teams meet. Their offense runs through the massive 6’9 255 pound senior forward, Cameron Krutwig. For his size and strength, he moves well and plays a key role in their pick and roll offense averaging 15 points and 6.5 rebounds per game.

The Ramblers may lack any resume-building wins but they have taken care of business the majority of the season. They will certainly be one of the most difficult teams to project this year, but I have faith in head coach Porter Moser. I will not make any guarantees other than the Ramblers will make it out of the Round of 64. Other than that this team remains a dangerous mystery, but don’t be shocked if you see Sister Jean highlighting the later rounds of March Madness this year.

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March Madness

D1CollegeHoops.com Top 25 Rankings

Drag and drop, in rank order from right to left, your Top 25 Power Rankings. When you submit your response it will tell you how many rankings you have in common with the latest AP Top 25. I will be able to compile the results mid-way through the week and share the results of the Followers of D1CollegeHoops Top 25.

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Game Preview: LSU at Arkansas

The Tigers travel to Fayetteville to face the red hot Razorbacks. LSU is coming off an ugly loss against Georgia while the Hogs are riding an eight game conference winning streak.

What the metrics say:

Arkansas: 18th in Ken PomLSU: 29th in Ken Pom
AdjO29th 7th
AdjD16th153rd
Adj Tempo30th67th

When Arkansas Has the Ball

The Hogs are starting to find their stride on offense. They have increased their offensive efficiency in almost all of their last 9 appearances. This can be attributed to a wide variety of changes. Justin Smith has taken a larger role while Devo Davis and Jaylin Williams have seen increases in usage. The Hogs do not shoot the three-ball very well but have executed at the rim at a much higher clip. Look for Arkansas to push the tempo especially in transition where Devo Davis has really thrived.

The first 6 games of conference play. They struggled in the paint missing 108 shots through six games.

The last eight games for the Razorbacks. Note an increase from midrange in the paint, 34% to 41%, and an increase below the rim, 57% to 69%.

When LSU Has the Ball

The Tigers have a dangerous offense with multiple elite scorers. Freshman Cameron Thomas leads all scorers with 22 points per game. He is followed closely by Ja’vonte Smart and Trendon Watford who are both averaging 16 points per game. They move fast on offense typically avoiding any shot clock pressure. They rely on attacking the rim instead of shooting from beyond the arc. Expect Mussleman to force them to stay out on the perimeter to get them out of their normal offense. The 7th ranked offense will be hard to slow down but the Razorback defense has been impressive of late. This game could easily come down to if LSU knocks down the three ball as Arkansas will likely give them some good looks from deep.

My Prediction:

This will undoubtedly be a high-scoring affair. Metrics favor the Hogs and Vegas agrees with the Razorbacks opening as four-point favorites. This number has since been pushed to around a six-point favorite as heavy money comes in on the hot Arkansas team. The Hogs lost the last matchup 92-76 but this is not the same Razorback team. The biggest advantage may be in coaching. Will Wade has looked shaky with a loaded roster the majority of the season while Eric Musselman continues to impress. With the game being in Fayetteville, I am going side with the Hogs with 70% confidence.

Arkansas 79, LSU 73

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Countdown to Tip

Which Razorback are you?

A personality test to determine which Razorback basketball player you are. This is purely based on the style of play as I don’t know any of them personally. Feel free to share your results on Twitter and tag the website: D1CollegeHoops.com

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Bracketology: SEC Outlook Update

A look into which teams have hopes of making the Big Dance as they enter the backstretch of regular season play.

*Seeding is provided from bracketmatrix.com where they have compiled rankings from over 30 leading bracketologists based on past accuracy*

Resources:


The Prospects

Alabama 18-6 (13-2)

Best Seed: 2 // Worst Seed: 3 // Consensus: 2

The Tide are still looking like they will easily finish as the regular season conference champions in SEC. That being said, Nate Oats team has sputtered of late. Most recently they fell by 15 points to the Razorbacks in Fayetteville. They still are far and away the best team in the SEC from a metrics standpoint with the 29th ranked AdjO and 4th ranked AdjD.

My prediction: 3, Alabama is a very dangerous team for many reasons. They shoot a ton of threes and make 36% of them. They pair their fast-paced offense with lockdown defense that works to push teams late into the shot clock. I like Alabama against the majority of the teams in the country but they need to right the swaying ship before March. I see this as a team that can beat anyone and has Final 4 potential. I don’t like their chances against the likes of Gonzaga/Baylor/Michigan.

Floor: Sweet 16 // Ceiling: NCAA Championship // Guess: Elite 8

Arkansas 18-5 (10-4)

Best Seed: 3 // Worst Seed: 8 // Consensus: 5

The Hogs currently hold the SEC’s longest conference winning streak at eight wins. Many were worried after the 2-4 start to conference play but the doubters have since been silenced. They have relied on a stingy defense, ranked 15th in the country, to attack teams weaknesses. Eric Musselman has proven to be one of the best coaches in the conference this year as Arkansas looks prepared each and every game.

My prediction: 4, The red hot Razorbacks look to continue their success against LSU at home this Saturday. If they can win out in the regular season and win a game in the SEC tournament they will be positioned to earn a 3 seed. Regardless of seeding, they are one of the hottest teams in all of college basketball that looks poised to compete with nearly anyone. The Hogs have won every game they have been predicted to win so I see them with a high floor with a decent ceiling come March.

Floor: Sweet 16 // Ceiling: Final 4 // Guess: Sweet 16

Tennessee 16-6 (9-6)

Best Seed: 4 // Worst Seed: 8 // Consensus: 5

The Volunteers rely on their 3rd ranked defense and a slow pace. This has led to a respectable season. However, some would consider it to be an underperformance for a highly anticipated Tennessee team led by Rick Barnes. They struggle to score at times and are coming off a recent home loss to Kentucky where they were ultimately dismantled over 40 minutes of play.

My prediction: 5, The Volunteers have taken care of business for the most part against inferior teams but lacks any big wins at the moment. They are a team that should make it past the the round of 64 but does not seem to have high upside. That being said, they do have two five start freshman who are liable to change the trajectory of this team down the stretch.

Floor: Round of 32 // Ceiling: Elite 8 // Guess: Sweet 16

Missouri 14-7 (7-7)

Best Seed: 5 // Worst Seed: OUT // Consensus: 6

The Tigers have been very uninspiring of late. They suffered three straight losses including two with their star forward, Jeremiah Tilmon, missing due to a death in the family. Missouri is an interesting team that could move anywhere in seeding over the next few weeks. They don’t impress from a metrics standpoint, 39th AdjO and 65th AdjD, but that doesn’t take into account Tilmon’s absence.

My prediction: 10, The Tigers have to face Florida and LSU to finish up the season. If they drop both they will very much be a bubble team. I am surprised anyone has this team above the 8/9 line and see them ending up somewhere between 8-10. I think they sneed into March Madness to find an early exit.

Floor: OUT // Ceiling: Round of 32 // Guess: Round of 64

Florida 12-6 (8-5)

Best Seed: 5 // Worst Seed: 10 // Consensus: 7

Florida is a very balanced team, 34th AdjO and 26th AdjD, that has done well so far this year. Their resume stacks up nicely with wins at West Virginia and at home against Tennessee and LSU. Apart from a pari of ugly losses (Kentucky and South Carolina) the Gators look poised for post season play.

My prediction: 6, I like the Gators. They use a nice blend of guard play and are good in the paint as well. Their balanced approach leaves few weaknesses. Look for the Gators to surprise some teams down the stretch.

Floor: Round of 64 // Ceiling: Elite 8 // Guess: Sweet 16

LSU 14-7 (9-5)

Best Seed: 6 // Worst Seed: OUT // Consensus: 8

Will Wade is managing to waste a very talented LSU team yet again. They are as talented as anyone in the conference but have not performed at a high level. They have a dangerous offense, 7th AdjO, but struggle on defense with the 155th ranked AdjD. They have two opportunities to improve their resume to end the season at Arkansas and against Missouri.

My prediction: 7 The Tigers success will depend heavily on their seeding. They truly have the talent to beat anyone in the country but are inconsistent. They may be the toughest team to predict in March Madness. If they end up on the 8/9 line I would not want them in my bracket as a 1 seed.

Floor: Round of 64 // Ceiling: Final 4 // Guess: Round of 32

Ole Miss 13-9 (8-7)

Best Seed: 11 // Worst Seed: OUT // Consensus: OUT

The Rebels are currently on the outside looking in. What seemed impossible has changed as they have won five of their last six. They have an easy last three games and would need all three to move into the tournament. They struggle offensively but hold the 17th best defense in the country. They are led by Devontae Shuler and Romello White.

My prediction: 11, I think Ole Miss could very well sneak into the tournament. While it is an uphill battle they have looked up to the challenge of late. No one is going to want to see this team in the SEC tournament. The Rebels are looking great but I wouldn’t consider them a serious threat in the tournament.

Floor: OUT// Ceiling: Round of 32 // Guess: Round of 64


Darkhorse:

I have said all year I am not counting Kentucky out. At this point it would take a conference tournament championship to make the Big Dance but that isn’t impossible. Calipari has the young Wildcats playing better almost every week. Most recently, Kentucky knocked off Tennessee on the road in domination fashion. Do not be surprised to see them in the conference finals in early March.

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Selection Sunday

Top 25 Power Rankings

Despite dealing with COVID-19, college basketball is about as entertaining as it has ever been this season. In a year where Blue Bloods have struggled we have seen a wide range of teams take the national spotlight. While Gonzaga, Baylor, and Michigan seem to be in a class of their own, that could change on any given night. I am a believer in using advanced metrics to evaluate talent, but there is obviously way more to it than that. Here are my 25 best teams in college basketball right now based on advanced metrics and how I view their current trajectory.

Resources



  1. Gonzaga (+1)
    The Zags are back on top as they continue their pursuit of a perfect season. On offense, they can score on all levels as they push the ball down the court. With the best effective FG% in the country while playing faster than almost any team, the Bulldogs look like favorites to win it all this season.
  2. Baylor (-1)
    “There is no such thing as a bad win”. Well… going down to the wire with a 2-17 Iowa State team is about as ugly of a win as you can get. Granted, they were coming off a lengthy COVID break. The Bears absolutely have the ability to win it all, but their last game finally separated them from Gonzaga’s dominance from a metrics standpoint.
  3. Michigan (–)
    The Wolverines are hot. With only one loss to a dangerous Minnesota team, they are not far behind Baylor at this point in time. Their win at Ohio State may be the most impressive performance by any team this season. Michigan relies on a good balance of offensive and defensive ability as they take a methodical approach in terms of pace.
  4. Ohio State (+1)
    Despite a loss at home, I still love this Ohio State team. Very similar to Iowa, they can hang with anyone with their elite scoring ability. That being said, they also struggle on defense where they rank 86the in AdjD. This is a team that no one will want to see in March and is being coached at an elite level.
  5. Illinois (-1)
    This is the least confident I have been about a top 5 team all year. The Illini are well balanced but rely too heavily on the play of Ayo Dosunmu and Kofi Cockburn. If I am a 15 seed in the tournament I would be praying to match up with this team. At the same time, this team has the ability to hang with anyone but lacks consistency.
  6. Iowa (–)
    It is a thing of beauty to watch the Hawkeyes on offense. They have the best AdjO. in the country and are seriously dangerous from deep. Not to mention Luka Garza torturing every opposing big man he faces. It’s a mystery how they are so bad on defense but they can typically make up for it on the offensive end. Watch for a massive matchup tonight against Michigan.
  7. Houston (+3)
    The Cougars are a difficult team to get a read on. With losses to Tulsa, ECU, and Wichita State they have an ugly resume. It is worth noting that they perform very well metrically coming in at 5 on Ken Pom, 6 on NET, 7 on Sagarin, and 8 on Massey. Kelvin Sampson leads a physical squad that is good on both sides of the ball. Will be one of the most interesting teams to look for in March.
  8. USC (–)
    Evan Mobley. The 7’0 freshman is one of the best players in the country and possibly the best prospect in college basketball. Averaging 17 points per game with nearly 8 rebounds and 3 blocks he is as versatile as they come. The Trojans rank 19th in AdjO and 14th AdjD to round out a very good basketball team.
  9. Florida State (+3)
    Leonard Hamilton has to be one of the most underrated coaches in basketball. The Seminoles weaponize the three-point shot to create a powerful offensive attack. Florida State has won their last four games and nine of its last ten. Their resume isn’t anything special but includes wins over Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina.
  10. Alabama (-3)
    The Tide have sputtered a little of late but are still a very formidable opponent. They push the ball on offense as fast as almost anyone in the country. This paired with their 4th ranked defense makes for a dangerous team. With a blend of height and experience, they are not easily rattled and are never out of a contest with their three-point ability.
  11. Villanova (-1)
  12. Creighton (+1)
  13. Wisconsin (+2)
  14. Arkansas (+4)
    The Razorbacks may very well be the hottest team in the country right now. They are riding an 8 game conference win streak with all of their resume-building wins in the last couple of weeks. With the emergence of Justin Smith, Jalen Tate, Devo Davis, Jaylin Williams, and Connor Vanover this last month they have as much depth as almost anyone in college basketball. All of that being said, Hog fans may need to pump the brakes a little bit. I have seen far too many “Final 4” tweets over the last 24 hours. The Razorbacks have moved into the 5 seed line in most bracketologists minds, but this is college basketball, who is to say what will happen over the next few weeks. One thing you can count on is Eric Musselman will have his players prepared as they can possibly be going into each game. The Hogs are looking like a team with a floor in the round of 32 and a ceiling as high as the Elite 8.
  15. West Virginia (+2)
  16. Virginia (-8)
  17. Tennesee (-3)
  18. Kansas (+3)
  19. Purdue (+3)
  20. Texas (+1)
  21. Texas Tech (-3)
  22. Loyola-Chicago (Newly Ranked)
  23. BYU (Newly Ranked)
  24. Colorado (-8)
  25. Oklahoma (-5)

Dropped from Rankings: San Diego State and LSU

Biggest Movers Up: Arkansas +4

Biggest Movers Down: Colorado/Virginia -8

Who’s Hot?

The Razorbacks have won their last 8 conference games. On Wednesday night they knocked off No. 6 Alabama by 15 points.


Who’s Not?

The Cavaliers have dropped their last three games. Including a 21 point loss to Florida State and a 7 point loss to NC State at home.

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Selection Sunday

Top 25 Power Rankings

  1. Baylor 17-0 (9-0)

    Key Wins: n-Illinois, Oklahoma, @TCU, @Texas Tech, Kansas, @Oklahoma State, Auburn, @Texas
    Key Losses: TBD
  2. Gonzaga 21-0 (12-0)

    Key Wins: n-Kansas, n-Auburn, n-West Virginia, n-Iowa, n-Virginia, San Francisco, BYU, @Saint Mary’s, St. Mary’s
    Key Losses: TBD
  3. Michigan 15-1 (10-1)

    Key Wins: Penn State, @Maryland, Northwestern, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Maryland, @Purdue, @Wisconsin, Rutgers
    Key Losses: @Minnesota
  4. Illinois 15-5 (11-3)

    Key Wins: @Duke, Minnesota, @Penn State, Indiana, Purdue, @Northwestern, Penn State, Iowa, @Indiana, Wisconsin, Northwestern
    Key Losses: n-Baylor, @Missouri, @Rutgers, Maryland, Ohio State
  5. Ohio State 18-4 (12-4)

    Key Wins: n-UCLA, Rutgers, @Rutgers, Northwestern, @Illinois, @Wisconsin, Penn State, Michigan State, @Iowa, @Maryland, Indiana, @Penn State
    Key Losses: @Purdue, @Northwestern, @Minnesota, Purdue
  6. Iowa 16-6 (10-5)

    Key Wins: North Carolina, Purdue, Northwestern, @Rutgers, Minnesota, @Northwestern, Michigan State, Rutgers, @Michigan State, @Wisconsin
    Key Losses: n-Gonzaga, @Minnesota, Indiana, @Illinois, Ohio State, @Indiana
  7. Alabama 17-5 (12-1) +1

    Key Wins: Ole Miss, @Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, @Kentucky, Arkansas, @LSU, Mississippi State, Kentucky, LSU
    Key Losses: n-Stanford, n-Clemson, Western Kentucky, @Oklahoma, @Missouri
  8. Virginia 15-4 (11-2) +2

    Key Wins: @Clemson, Georgia Tech, Syracuse, Pittsburgh, @Georgia Tech, North Carolina
    Key Losses: n-San Francisco, n-Gonzaga, @Virginia Tech, @Florida State
  9. USC 18-3 (12-2) +4

    Key Wins: n-BYU, Utah, @Arizona, @Stanford, UCLA
    Key Losses: n-Connecticut, Colorado, @Oregon State
  10. Villanova 13-3 (8-2) -3

    Key Wins: @Texas, @Marquette, Seton Hall, Providence, @Seton Hall, Marquette
    Key Losses: n-Virginia Tech, @St. John’s, @Creighton
  11. Houston 17-3 (11-3) -2

    Key Wins: n-Texas Tech, @SMU, Wichita State, Tulsa, SMU
    Key Losses: @Tulsa, @East Carolina
  12. Florida State 12-3 (8-2) +3

    Key Wins: Indiana, Florida, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Clemson, Virginia
    Key Losses: UCF, @Clemson, @Georgia Tech
  13. Creighton 16-5 (12-4) +5

    Key Wins: @Connecticut, Xavier, @Providence, Seton Hall, Connecticut, @Seton Hall, @Marquette, Villanova
    Key Losses: @Kansas, Marquette, @Butler, Providence, Georgetown
  14. Tennessee 15-5 (10-6) -3

    Key Wins: Colorado, @Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Kansas, @Kentucky
    Key Losses: Alabama, @Florida, Missouri, @Ole Miss, @LSU
  15. Wisconsin 15-8 (9-7) -3

    Key Wins: Rhode Island, Louisville, @Michigan State, Minnesota, Indiana, @Rutgers, Northwestern, @Maryland
    Key Losses: @Marquette, Maryland, @Michigan, Ohio State, @Penn State, @Illinois, Michigan, Iowa
  16. Colorado 16-7 (10-6) +1

    Key Wins: @USC, Oregon, Stanford, Arizona, @Stanford
    Key Losses: @Tennessee, @Arizona, @UCLA, @Washington, Utah, @California, @Oregon
  17. West Virginia 14-6 (7-4) -3

    Key Wins: Richmond, @Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Kansas, @Texas Tech
    Key Losses: n-Gonzaga, @Kansas, @Oklahoma, Texas, Florida, Oklahoma
  18. Texas Tech 14-6 (6-5) -2

    Key Wins: @Oklahoma, @Texas, @LSU, Oklahoma
    Key Losses: n-Houston, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, @West Virginia, West Virginia
  19. Arkansas 17-5 (9-4) +5

    Key Wins: @Auburn, Auburn, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, @Kentucky, @Missouri, Florida
    Key Losses: Missouri, @Tennessee, @LSU, @Alabama, @Oklahoma State
  20. Oklahoma 13-5 (8-4)

    Key Wins: @TCU, West Virginia, TCU, Kansas, @Texas, Alabama, @West Virginia
    Key Losses: @Xavier, Texas Tech, @Baylor, @Kansas, @Texas Tech
  21. Texas 13-5 (7-4) -2

    Key Wins: n-Indiana, n-North Carolina, Oklahoma State, @Kansas, @West Virginia, TCU
    Key Losses: n-Villanova, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Baylor, @Oklahoma State
  22. Kansas 16-7 (10-5) +3

    Key Wins: n-Kentucky, Creighton, @Texas Tech, West Virginia, @TCU, Oklahoma, TCU, Oklahoma State
    Key Losses: n-Gonzaga, Texas, @Oklahoma State, @Baylor, @Oklahoma, @Tennessee, @West Virginia
  23. Purdue 14-8 (9-6) -2

    Key Wins: Ohio State, Maryland, @Michigan State, @Indiana, Penn State, @Ohio State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Michigan State
    Key Losses: n-Clemson, @Miami, @Iowa, @Rutgers, @Illinois, Michigan, @Maryland, @Minnesota
  24. San Diego State 16-4 (10-3) -2

    Key Wins: UCLA, @Arizona State, @Saint Mary’s
    Key Losses: BYU, Colorado State, @Utah State, @Utah State
  25. LSU 13-6 (8-4) NEW

    Key Wins: Ole Miss, Arkansas, @Mississippi State, Tennessee
    Key Losses: @Saint Louis, @Florida, Alabama, @Kentucky, Texas Tech, @Alabama

Dropped From Rankings: Loyola-Chicago

Arkansas Update:

Ken Pom: 22, Sagarin: 20, Massey: 23, NET: 24

The Razorbacks are rolling as they move down the homestretch. Riding a 7 game conference win streak, the Hogs have added a couple resume building wins. With wins at Kentucky, at Missouri, and home against Florida they have put themselves in great position for March Madness. At this point it seems like more of a question of where the Hogs will be seeded rather than if they will make the Big Dance. Arkansas fans will have to wait until Wednesday as their latest matchup with Texas A&M was postponed due to COVID in the Aggies program. The Wednesday meeting with Top 10 Alabama may very well be the biggest home game the Hogs have played in this century.

2021-03-14T18:00:00

  days

  hours  minutes  seconds

until

Selection Sunday

Conference Tournament Predictions.
March is upon us. The lead-up to the Big Dance will commence …
6 Teams That Can Make the Final 4 Outside of the AP Top 4
As we approach Selection Sunday, let's take a look at a few …

SEC POWER RANKINGS (02/17/21)

Power rankings based off KenPom, Sagarin, NET, and the good ol’ fashioned eye test. I am including resumes for each team that has a chance at an at-large bid.


  1. Alabama 17-5 (15-2)
    KenPom: 8, Sagarin: 9, NET: 8

    Key Wins: Ole Miss, @Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, @Kentucky, Arkansas, @LSU, Mississippi State, Kentucky, LSU
    Key Losses: n-Stanford, n-Clemson, Western Ketucky, @Oklahoma, @Missouri
  2. Tennessee 15-5 (10-6)
    KenPom: 17, Sagarin: 16, NET: 13

    Key Wins: Colorado, @Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Kansas, @Kentucky
    Key Losses: Alabama, @Florida, Missouri, @Ole Miss, @LSU
  3. Arkansas 17-5 (9-4)
    KenPom: 21, Sagarin: 21, NET: 24

    Key Wins: @Auburn, Auburn, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, @Kentucky, @Missouri, Florida
    Key Losses: Missouri, @Tennessee, @LSU, @Alabama, @Oklahoma State
  4. LSU 13-6 (8-4)
    KenPom: 27, Sagarin: 27, NET: 26

    Key Wins: Ole Miss, Arkansas, @Mississippi State, Tennessee
    Key Losses: @Saint Louis, @Florida, Alabama, @Kentucky, Texas Tech, @Alabama
  5. Florida 10-6 (6-5)
    KenPom: 30, Sagarin: 31, NET: 30

    Key Wins: LSU, Ole Miss, Tennessee, @West Virginia
    Key Losses: @Florida State, @Alabama, Kentucky, @Mississippi State, South Carolina, @Arkansas
  6. Missouri 13-6 (6-6)
    KenPom: 51, Sagarin: 55, NET: 43

    Key Wins: n-Oregon, Illinois, @Arkansas, @Tennessee, TCU, Kentucky, Alabama
    Key Losses: Tennessee, @Mississippi State, @Auburn, @Ole Miss, Arkansas, @Georgia
  7. Ole Miss 12-8 (7-6)
    KenPom: 48, Sagarin: 58, NET: 56

    Key Wins: @Mississippi State, Tennessee, Missouri
    Key Losses: @Dayton, @Alabama, Wichita State, LSU, @Florida, Georgia, @Arkansas, @Georgia
  8. Kentucky 7-13 (6-7)
    KenPom: 63, Sagarin: 56, NET: 76
  9. Auburn 11-11 (5-8)
    KenPom: 58, Sagarin: 59, NET: 8
  10. Georgia 13-8 (6-8)
    KenPom: 86, Sagarin: 80, NET: 65
  11. Mississippi State 11-111 (5-8)
    KenPom: 79, Sagarin: 81, NET: 94
  12. South Carolina 5-10 (3-8)
    KenPom: 87, Sagarin: 91, NET: 110
  13. Texas A&M 8-7 (2-6)
    KenPom: 130, Sagarin: 118, NET: 138
  14. Vanderbilt 6-11 (2-9)
    KenPom: 112, Sagarin: 124, NET: 127
2021-03-14T18:00:00

  days

  hours  minutes  seconds

until

Selection Sunday

Conference Tournament Predictions.
March is upon us. The lead-up to the Big Dance will commence …
Bracketology: SEC Outlook Update
A look into which teams have hopes of making the Big Dance …
Top 25 Power Rankings
Top 25 Power Rankings with an update on the Razorbacks.
Game Preview: Arkansas at Missouri
In a true showdown of the "eye test" vs metrics, the unranked …

Arkansas Film Room

A breakdown of the latest Hog victory with highlights from WarMachine2013! Make sure you subscribe to his channel as he continues to provide the best highlights for Razorback wins!

This is a new interactive feature that I am trying out. Let me know if you experience any bugs or if you enjoy the content!

Arkansas 75, Florida 64

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Game Breakdown:

The Hogs took care of business in Fayetteville to continue their 7 game conference win streak. The Razorbacks had multiple players step up on both sides of the ball to earn this win. Notably, Justin Smith, Devo Davis, and Jalen Tate all performed exceptionally well. Justin Smith posted a crazy stat line: 15 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 5 steals, and 2 blocks. This was nearly overshadowed by an 18 point performance from freshman Devo Davis. Arkansas has a lot to be confident about heading into College Station on Saturday. With a deep arsenal of weapons it is hard to predict who will be the key contributor on a given night, but Head Hog Eric Mussleman has done a good job managing this depth.

Box Score

Conference Tournament Predictions.
March is upon us. The lead-up to the Big Dance will commence …
6 Teams That Can Make the Final 4 Outside of the AP Top 4
As we approach Selection Sunday, let's take a look at a few …
D1CollegeHoops.com Top 25 Rankings
The Followers of D1CollegeHoops Top 25.
Game Preview: LSU at Arkansas
Game preview: LSU at Arkansas